Wednesday, June 1, 2011

As soon as hundreds of thousands of Russians will be on the street

Hundreds of thousands of Russians may soon will be on the street. This was announced on Wednesday, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Zhukov, the Russian government during a video conference at the White House devoted to the labor market situation. "The number of people alleged to dismissal of approximately 480,000 people, 940,000 have already dismissed since the start of monitoring (October 1, 2008)," - he said. More than 1.5 million people are employed part-time, are simple or are forced to take indefinite leave due to the fault of the employer, said Zhukov. According to him, in the most difficult situations were systemically and town-forming enterprises. "This year the situation will be complicated, and it is unlikely the company, about the problems that we know will be able to solve them" - said Deputy Prime Minister. According to the latest Federal State Statistics Service, the total number of unemployed in Russia amounted to 6.2 million or 8.1% of the economically active population, he noted. "The number of unemployed since the beginning of the year grew by 35,000 and reached on January 27, 2.166 million people," - said Zhukov. "The implementation of regional programs has allowed not only to keep layoffs and unemployment, but also reduce the number of people registered with employment offices," - said Zhukov. "Current levels of total unemployment is still significantly lower than the maximum marks of the last crisis. Recall that in February 1999 without work remained 10.4 million Russians, or 14.6% of the economically active population "- said in his review of the National Rating Agency. "After six months of continuous decline in November and December, weekly monitoring of the Health Ministry records steady growth in registered unemployment. For two months the number of unemployed that have taken the official record of employment services has increased by 90 thousand to 2.1 million, offsetting just a third of the accumulated reduction in this index since late April to late October. At the same time about the same amount decreased the absolute amount of hidden unemployment (in terms of workers employed part-time day / week, located in a prime due to administration or sent to forced leave). We can assume that such a combination of the dynamics of both parameters means the transition of hidden unemployment in an open form, in the absence of a significant trend in the balance of the closed and jobs created ", - experts say the agency. According to them, in the process industries the share of part-time employment up to 10.7% on payroll, but in the long-suffering labor-intensive machine-building - up to 20%. "Undoubtedly, the unemployed will be more. And, significantly. By the end of the year, the actual unemployment rate could exceed 9% "- says Maxim Shein Bank.ru head of analytical department of the IR" BCS. " "Many companies expected the new year on increased demand for their products, but apparently it will not. The economic recovery is only due to the state. I think that without government spending, GDP growth would be negative this year. Private demand is not. Official figures say that increased real disposable income. But this figure has grown only by "games" with statistics. No growth industry, there is no recovery. Now many experts - optimists cite the increase in oil prices. But, for example, the same LUKOIL, one of the most profitable Russian companies in the oil industry, will primarily address the issue of costs, rather than on production. And this, in particular, this means downsizing. If this is going to do LUKOIL, what to talk about other companies? I think that unemployment figures are understated. In general, the situation is dire. Now as long as companies adhere to the staff. But soon begin to get rid of him. Population sits income and unemployed - the expert concludes.

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