Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Nord Stream to nowhere

Gazprom said that, finally, will profit from the Russian market, and small - as much as 70 billion rubles. Only snag is that this amount was only 20% of the total earnings of the state corporation, and put it on the domestic market more than half the fuel produced during the year. In this connection, Gazprom is hoped that by 2011 the government will introduce a correct and regular indexation of tariffs for gas so that prices inside Russia closer to European standards. Not freely question, but what's the purpose of state-owned corporation? Well, as a rhetorical question, answers will not wait, actually, we wanted to talk about another project of Gazprom, even more important than the stripping of its population - about the North Stream. Recently, this topic has already been discussed on Radio Ekho Moskvy, Gary Kasparov, the leader of United Civil Front, and a member of United Russia faction Sergei Markov. During the discussion they came to, I must say, very interesting results, and we are forced to think deeply, and his thoughtfulness, we decided to share with you. So, what is known about the Nord Stream? It is known that this is a very expensive project, it is known that the cost of gas transit via Nord Stream will be higher than any other delivery costs Gazprom's product, it is known that the pipeline will pass under the Baltic Sea, it is known that at the bottom of the Baltic Sea are buried German chemical weapons and the German is mine, it is known that mines will explode. And the hell, I ask such a joy? Even last year, the question the hell did not arise - transit blackmail of Ukraine gave an exhaustive answer. However, now that the passions have subsided, you can think again with a cool, calm head. The main need for Nord Stream is reduced to the political and economic disagreements with Ukraine. But what is the guarantee that these disagreements do not arise from Finland, Denmark or Sweden? Incidentally, the latter looks at us askance almost from the time of Poltava. Of course, this option is unlikely, a gas is delivered, read, in all of Europe, to the way the Scandinavians have a very specific ratio, unlike in Ukraine, and strongly stand up to the offended poses for them there will not be allowed fellow EU. However, looking now, wild imagination, it may one day prove true, in fact, who thirty years ago, assumed the gas standoff with Ukraine? And what if we suddenly break it off with the northerners? Build a new gas pipeline? So they are not impossible to satiate, yet billions of dollars worth. It turns out that Russia simply walks away from the problem to be solved, and solved with the state, home to the fraternal people. Presidential elections in Ukraine on the nose, Yushchenko likely to stay, quite frankly, a little, the most likely contenders for his post - Tymoshenko and Viktor Yanukovych, both in Russia are much more loyal predecessor. Much do we share with Denmark? Marriage bond Romanov. And with Sweden and Finland - the war and little Teemu villagers. With Ukraine we are bound by the same century, a common culture and common borders. What is happening there now, it's usually awkward age, which inevitably is going through the newly independent country - search for national identity, aggression against former compatriots, perelopachivanie history to find in it the signs of cultural autonomy and the like. But most importantly, will the good of the Nord Stream? Currently, Ukraine pays Russia 1.7 dollars per thousand cubic meters and the transit price of 3.5 dollar joint venture, what is? Gary Kasparov on this aptly remarked: "Somehow Foes agree on very reasonable terms, while a project that supposedly goes through - well, not that friendly countries, and neutral countries - it is economically disadvantageous wildly . But the most surprising in the Nord Stream is that it does not solve the problem of Ukrainian posing as a Square area we are missing 130 billion cubic meters annually, and the power of the new thread in the first stage the pipeline will be only 27.5 billion cubic meters. In other words, if Ukraine is once again begin to blackmail Russia transit fuel, Nord Stream will not be able to meet the needs of Europe's gas, it can only slightly delay the time in negotiations, but will have to solve the problem is still with Ukraine. In addition, it remains questionable friendliness Scandinavians. The main initiators of the Nord Stream gas are Russia and Germany, as if on a personal level, Putin and former head of the German government to Schroeder, who was already a good friend, Vladimir Vladimirovich, but now all are working at Gazprom. Former Prime Minister of Finland, Lipponen also drives a friendship with the Chancellor. From the side it seems that the Nord Stream - a project built on personal relationships of major politicians, therefore, happen what with these relations, or pah-pah-pah, by the politicians, the Scandinavians are cooled down to Nord Stream. Finally, at the bottom of the Baltic Sea dumped 300 tons of chemical weapons and tens of thousands of mines, which are supposed to explode. As the explosion affect the chemicals is not known. Worse, the Soviet Union flooded only 12% of the 300-m tonnes, the remaining 88% of Americans are dumped, and share the coordinates are not in a hurry. That is, we know the approximate location of only a fraction of weapons capable of causing an ecological catastrophe, and who, interestingly, will bear the responsibility for this disaster? Do one of the leading EU countries - Germany, or the Finns from all over sovey northern brethren? Thus, we summarize what we actually have? The project of gas supplies to Europe about $ 11 billion, would allow Russia to transport less fuel for more money than the transit route through Ukraine, though not eliminating the need to negotiate with Ukraine, as well as a bonus Nord Stream does not exclude the environmental disaster, almost all the responsibility for which Russia will be. Well, can not help but wonder whether we should Russia some sort joy?

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