Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Rising oil prices will make life worse than the Russians

Formulated the "popular opinion" Journal www.metrinfo.ru, analyzing the results of its poll, which was invited to reflect on what effect oil prices have on everyday life. In recent years, due to the war in Libya's oil prices rose markedly. In April, they had already been set out to get close to a peak in 2008 (about $ 127 a barrel Brent crude, compared to $ 142.6). But on May 5 there was a sharp fall of nearly 10 points, after which they again slowly but steadily crept upward. Some experts, and consumers tend to project the situation in the oil market in the real estate market, linking the rise in oil prices with an increase in housing prices. However, not all that easy. In the analytical center "Indicators of Real Estate Market believe that if between oil prices and the cost of the Moscow real estate and there is a connection, it is not at all unique. A simple example: the beginning of the year crude oil rose in price by one third (35%), and real estate - by about 5%. To the naked eye can see that the pace of price increase of both, even impossible to compare. In the history of the real estate market were more significant examples, when oil became cheaper, and housing rose in price and vice versa. At the same time argue that rising in price petroleum has no effect on the housing situation is also impossible. Rising oil prices affect the income, expenditure and purchasing power. As noted in www.irn.ru, ordinary Russian citizens are rising in price gasoline (and as recent events - even the petrol shortage in the domestic market "), an increase in food prices (dovozit them to the store becomes more expensive) for utility payments, for medicines . That is, daily life becomes more expensive. People are melting savings, mortgage becomes overwhelming. Few interesting are luxuries and expensive housing. But the demand for affordable housing may increase. Accordingly, the flat economy-start to gain in price, and expensive housing - to lose. This paradox can be observed during the period of rising prices for raw materials. Now learn about the results of a poll in the numbers. The vast majority of Muscovites, who took part in the survey - 89.2% - are aware of the fact that oil prices are going up. The survey asked citizens to agree or disagree with the following statement - "because of rising oil prices in food and essential commodities rise in price and luxury - are becoming cheaper. Agreed to the 63,4% of respondents did not agree - 25,7%, expressed a different opinion 4%; difficult to answer 6.9%. The following points, which again, respondents were asked to agree or not, was: "In connection with rising oil prices will rise and low-cost housing will fall on the road". Here the results were somewhat different: half of city dwellers - 49.5% - disagreed with this version. And mostly because of the fact that the prices they believe will grow in any home - and the expensive and cheap. 18.8% agree with the proposed thesis. They noted that the rise in oil prices triggers higher prices of housing in mass demand. Another view is shared by 3% of the respondents 28,7% of Muscovites were undecided, as also did not associate the rise in prices for resources and housing. Then people were asked to consider - whether to change the standard of living due to rising oil prices. 61,4% of respondents are confident that will change; 20.8% see no change, 17.8% did not give a definite answer. Muscovites who anticipate the changes in my life, projected growth in gasoline prices, and after that, and appreciation of food and goods, and a general lowering of life for most people. However, the oligarchs and oil kings are not touched - they will live even better. Further sounded quite gloomy prophecy - people have predicted an increase in crime and even riots. However, the projections present and hope for the subsequent stabilization of the economic situation. It certainly can not help noting the similarities with that assessment, which gave analysts www.irn.ru speaking on the impact of the "oil factor" on society. It is worth noting that people are not given any clues, the consequences of the "oil boom" they identified themselves. It turns out that people's conclusions largely coincide with the findings of professional analysts (except maybe the crime rates and expectations of popular unrest). But in assessing the situation, of course, there are differences. Controversial thesis about the men seemed to rise in price of apartments economy class and some reduction in prices for expensive housing. This can be explained by the fact that people mostly do not include housing of any category of goods, in their minds, the property has a special status and lives of their own laws. And if housing starts and go up or fall in price, so all at once without any "countervailing trends. Need to understand that people look at the situation in the housing market generally, and in fact the real estate market is really beyond the "oil" there are plenty of factors that somehow affect the pricing, and a definite trend emerging under the influence of their set. For example, today the real estate market "threaten" the race and the increasing interest of investors who can leave the stock market. Chances are that housing prices will rise seriously. Therefore, the intuitive feeling of some rising tide, which they say people who participated in the survey, is fully justified and explained. These log www.metrinfo.ru received through a telephone survey conducted on a representative sample. It allows you to reflect the opinion of the population is arbitrarily large city and to sustain the relation to age and sex of respondents, depending on the population. The survey involved residents of working age.

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